Aviso Weekly Market Pulse: July 8th – July 12th

Jul 15, 2024

Market developments

Equities:
The S&P 500 Index climbed to around 5,615 to end the week, showing signs of recovery despite the tech-led selloff in the Thursday session. Major banks kicked off the earnings season with mixed results. Wells Fargo saw a 7% decline due to cost-cutting challenges, while JPMorgan reported record profits but missed some key metrics. Overall, the market appears to be in a state of cautious optimism, balancing positive economic indicators with ongoing concerns about inflation and corporate performance.

Fixed income:
U.S. producer prices increased slightly more than expected, but components used to calculate the Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation measure were not as concerning. The 10-year Treasury yield decreased below 4.20%, reflecting ongoing market adjustments to this week’s economic data. After a lower than expected CPI print, investors are currently pricing in for September to be the first Fed rate cut.

Commodities:
Oil prices remained relatively stable, trading below $83 per barrel. While there are positive signs regarding the cease-fire negotiations in the Middle East, significant challenges remain before a deal can be finalized. This uncertainty continues to influence oil market sentiment.

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